A Level Further Mathematics 9231 Paper 43, Oct/Nov 2025

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Question paper

9231/43 · Oct/Nov 2025

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1

A group of 10 school children are asked to estimate the size of an angle θ∘ in a given acute angled triangle. These estimates, in degrees, are as follows. 84857785848786888385

a

Stating any assumptions you make, calculate a 95% confidence interval for θ.

[5]
b

Give a reason why the assumptions made in part (a) may not be appropriate in this case.

[1]
2

The manager of a car park claims that the number of cars entering the car park follows a Poisson distribution with mean 2.8. The numbers of cars entering the car park are recorded on a working day during successive 5-minute periods. The following table contains the observed frequencies, together with most of the expected frequencies and their contributions to the χ2-test statistic.

Number of cars012345⩾6
Observed frequency21531291337
Expected frequency6.08117.0323.84p15.578.7216.511
χ2-test statistic2.7390.2412.152q0.4253.7530.037
a

Find the value of p and the value of q.

[2]
b

Carry out a goodness of fit test at the 5% significance level to investigate the manager’s claim.

[4]
3

A random sample of 10 newborn baby boys is taken and their masses in kg are recorded. From this sample, the population standard deviation of all newborn baby boys is estimated as 0.6 kg. A random sample of 5 newborn baby girls is taken and their masses in kg are recorded as follows. 3.93.12.93.13.6 It is assumed that the masses of newborn baby boys and girls have the same population standard deviation, σ kg. By pooling the two samples, calculate an estimate of σ.

[4]
4

A researcher believes that the median m of a population has changed from its known previous value m0. The researcher collects a random sample of size 28. She ranks the data and calculates a test statistic T using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test. The conclusion of the test carried out at a 1% significance level is that there is not sufficient evidence to support her belief. Using a normal approximation, find the least possible value of T.

[5]
5

A continuous random variable X has probability density function f given by f(x)={116x0⩽x<4,1kx4⩽x⩽9,0otherwise, where k is a constant.

a

Show that k=3.

[2]
b

Find the median value of X.

[3]
c

The random variable Y is defined by Y=X. Find the probability density function of Y.

[5]
6

Nine athletes in a club have a new coach. The coach adopts a new training programme which he believes will reduce the race times of these athletes. Each athlete completes a 1500 m time trial before and after completing the new training programme. Their times, in seconds (s), are recorded.

AthleteABCDEFGHI
Time before training (s)250251252267276291310320335
Time after training (s)245251253261275293302313320
a

Carry out a paired t-test at the 5% significance level to test the coach’s belief.

[7]
b

Further research suggests that the effects of the training programme tend to reduce the times of the slower athletes by more than those of the faster athletes. Suggest a reason why the paired t-test used in part (a) may not have been an appropriate test in this case.

[1]
c

Suggest a suitable alternative test that could have been used instead of a paired t-test.

[1]
7

A discrete random variable X takes values r=0,1,2 with probabilities P(X=r) as given in the following table.

r012
P(X=r)a2ab
a

Write down the probability generating function of X, and use it to find an expression for E(X) in terms of a and b.

[2]
b

Show that Var⁡(X)=2b+2(a+b)(1−2a−2b).

[3]
c

The random variable Y is defined by Y=X1+X2+X3+⋯+X10 where X1,X2,X3,…,X10 are ten independent observations of X. Using the probability generating function of Y, and your answer to part (a), show that E(Y)=10E(X).

[3]
d

For the case b=0, define fully the distribution of Y.

[2]

Mark scheme

9231/43 · Oct/Nov 2025

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1a · 5 marks

  • M1

    s2=19(′71314′−′844′210)[=13415=8.933]

  • B1

    2.262

  • M1

    ′844′10±′2.262′′8.933′10

  • A1

    [82.3,86.5]

  • B1

    The distribution of estimates of angles is normal. OR The estimates are a random sample from some population. OR The estimates are independent. OR Underlying distribution is normal.

1b · 1 mark

  • B1

    Population unlikely to be normal as θ is close to right-angle / data is skewed. OR Estimates may not be independent, for example due to collusion. OR No indication that sample is random.

2a · 2 marks

  • B1

    p=e−2.8(2.8)33!×100=22.248

  • B1

    q=(29−22.25)222.25=2.05

2b · 4 marks

  • B1

    H0: Po(2.8) fits the data. H1: Po(2.8) does not fit the data. OR H0: Po(2.8) is a satisfactory model for the number of cars (entering the car park). H1: Po(2.8) is not a satisfactory model for the number of cars (entering the car park).

  • M1

    2.739+0.241+2.152+′2.049′+0.425+3.753+0.037 [=11.396]

  • M1

    ′11.4′<12.59, accept H0 / do not reject H0 / not significant.

  • A1

    Insufficient evidence to suggest that Po(2.8) is not a good fit to the data. OR Insufficient evidence to suggest that the manager’s claim is false.

3 · 4 marks

  • B1

    ∑(x−xˉ)2=9×0.36=3.24

  • M1

    ′55.8′−′16.6′25

  • M1

    3.24+0.68810+5−2(=0.302)

  • A1

    s=0.550

4 · 5 marks

  • B1

    14×28×(28+1) [=203] 124×28×(28+1)×(56+1) [=1928.5]

  • M1

    [z=]T+0.5−′203′′1928.5′

  • M1

    T+0.5−′203′′1928.5′>−2.576

  • A1

    T>89.4

  • A1

    T=90

5a · 2 marks

  • M1

    116[23x32]04+1k[2x]49=1 124(8−0)+2k(3−2)=1 OR 13+2k=1

  • A1

    2k=23,k=3

5b · 3 marks

  • M1

    116∫04x dx+13∫4mx−12 dx=12 OR 13∫m9x−12 dx=0.5

  • 1 mark

    13+23(m−2)=12 OR 23(3−m)=12

  • A1

    m=8116 [=5.0625]

5c · 5 marks

  • M1

    Attempt to integrate both parts, limits not required. May be seen in part 5(a).

  • B1

    For constant –1 obtained in expression for 4⩽x⩽9. May be seen in part 5(a).

  • M1

    G(y)={124y30⩽y<223y−12⩽y⩽3

  • M1

    For differentiation, limits not required.

  • A1

    g(y)={18y20⩽y<2232⩽y⩽30otherwise

6a · 7 marks

  • B1

    H0:μB=μAH1:μB>μA

  • M1

    Differences: 5,0,−1,6,1,−2,8,7,15

  • M1

    sd2=18(′405′−′39′29) [=29.5]

  • M1

    ′39′9′29.5′9

  • A1

    =2.393

  • M1

    ′2.393′>1.860, reject H0 / significant.

  • A1

    Sufficient evidence to suggest new training programme results in reduced times. OR Sufficient evidence to support the coach’s belief.

6b · 1 mark

  • B1

    The population of differences may not be normally distributed. The population of differences may not be symmetrical (and hence not normal).

6c · 1 mark

  • B1

    A Wilcoxon matched-pairs signed-rank test. OR A paired-sample sign test.

7a · 2 marks

  • B1

    GX(t)=a+2at+bt2

  • B1

    GX′(t)=2a+2bt E(X)=GX′(1)=2a+2b

7b · 3 marks

  • B1

    GX′′(t)=2b

  • M1

    Var(X)=2b+(2a+2b)−(2a+2b)2

  • A1

    2b+(2a+2b)−(2a+2b)2=2b+(2a+2b)(1−(2a+2b))=2b+2(a+b)(1−2a−2b)

7c · 3 marks

  • B1

    GY(t)=(a+2at+bt2)10

  • M1

    GY′(t)=20(a+bt)(a+2at+bt2)9 E(Y)=20(a+b)(3a+b)9

  • A1

    3a+b=1, hence E(Y)=20(a+b)=10E(X).

7d · 2 marks

  • B1

    Binomial

  • 1 mark

    B(10,23)

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