A Level Further Mathematics 9231 Paper 43, May/June 2025

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Question paper

9231/43 · May/June 2025

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1

A person’s eye colour may be categorised as “brown”, “blue” or “other”. A scientist claims that these eye colours are uniformly distributed and hence are equally likely to occur in the population. A survey of 120 people from this population found that 38 people had brown eyes, 52 people had blue eyes and 30 people had eyes which were neither brown nor blue. Use the data to carry out a goodness of fit test at the 5% significance level to test the scientist’s claim.

[6]
2

A farmer is investigating whether using a new fertiliser will increase the yield of tomato plants. The farmer selects 40 tomato plants at random and gives them the new fertiliser. The crop mass, x kg, of each of these 40 plants is recorded. The farmer selects a further 60 tomato plants at random and gives them a standard fertiliser. The crop mass, y kg, of each of these 60 plants is recorded. The results are summarised as follows. ∑x=168∑x2=720∑y=228∑y2=900 Find a 90% confidence interval for the difference in mean crop mass associated with each type of fertiliser.

[7]
3

A continuous random variable X has probability density function f given by f(x)={kx0⩽x<1,k(8−x)1⩽x⩽8,0otherwise, where k is a constant.

a

Show that k=125.

[2]
b

Find the median value of X.

[3]
c

The random variable Y is defined by Y=X3. Find the probability density function of Y.

[5]
4

A researcher claims that older people take longer to react to a sudden loud noise than younger people. To investigate this, the researcher randomly selects 6 people over 50 years old and 8 people under 25 years old and records their reaction times, in milliseconds, to a sudden loud noise. The reaction times are as follows.

Over 50198212217229235242
Under 25178181183192203209223231

Carry out a Wilcoxon rank-sum test at the 5% significance level to test the researcher’s claim.

[8]
5

A doctor is investigating the concentration of blood glucose in patients at risk of developing type 2 diabetes, where blood glucose is measured in appropriate units. The doctor claims that a particular intervention reduces the concentration by more than k units on average. A group of 8 at risk patients is selected at random and each patient follows the intervention for six months. The blood glucose concentrations before and after the intervention are given in the following table.

PatientABCDEFGH
Before183165172165143176161153
After164148164149134153155148
a

Use a t-test at the 5% significance level to find the range of values of k for which the result of the test is to reject the null hypothesis.

[7]
b

State an assumption necessary for the test in part (a) to be valid.

[1]
6

A bag contains 7 red balls and 3 blue balls. Kieran selects 2 balls at random, without replacement. The number of red balls selected by Kieran is denoted by X, and the number of different colours present in Kieran’s selection is denoted by Y.

a

Find the probability generating functions, GX(t) of X and GY(t) of Y.

[4]
b

The random variable Z is the sum of the number of red balls and the number of different colours present in Kieran’s selection. Kieran claims that the probability generating function of Z is equal to GX(t)×GY(t). Explain why Kieran is incorrect.

[1]
c

Find the probability generating function of Z, expressing your answer as a polynomial in t.

[4]
d

Use the probability generating function of Z to find E(Z).

[2]

Mark scheme

9231/43 · May/June 2025

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1 · 6 marks

  • B1

    H0: uniform distribution fits the data. H1: uniform distribution does not fit the data.

  • B1

    Expected frequencies are 40, 40, 40.

  • M1

    (38−40)240+(52−40)240+(30−40)240[=0.1+3.6+2.5] OR 38240+52240+30240−120

  • A1

    6.2

  • M1

    [2 degrees of freedom, so critical value is 5.991.] '6.2' > 5.991, reject H0 (significant).

  • A1

    Sufficient evidence to suggest that the scientist’s claim is incorrect. OR Sufficient evidence eye colour is not uniformly distributed. OR Sufficient evidence to suggest that uniform distribution is not a good fit.

2 · 7 marks

  • M1

    sx2=139(720−168240)=0.36923[=2465] sy2=159(900−228260)=0.56949[=168295]

  • A1

    Both unbiased estimates correct to 3sf or better.

  • M1

    s2=’0.36923’40+’0.56949’60

  • A1

    s2=0.0187[=35919175]

  • M1

    CI=(16840−22860)±1.645’s’

  • B1

    1.645 (accept 1.64 or 1.65) used in CI formula.

  • A1

    [0.175,0.625]

3a · 2 marks

  • M1

    ∫01kx dx+∫18k(8−x) dx=1[[12kx2]01+[8kx−12kx2]18=1] 12k+(64k−32k)−(8k−12k)=1 OR 12×1×k+12×7×7k=1

  • A1

    25k=1, leading to k=125.

3b · 3 marks

  • M1

    ∫01kx dx+∫1mk(8−x) dx=12 OR 12×(8−m)×k(8−m)=12

  • M1

    m2−16m+39=0 or (8−m)2=25

  • A1

    m=3

3c · 5 marks

  • M1

    F(x)={150x2[0⩽x<1]825x−150x2−725[1⩽x⩽8] [F(x)=0 for x<0 and F(x)=1 for x>8]

  • B1

    For −725.

  • M1

    G(y)={150y6[0⩽y<1]825y3−150y6−725[1⩽y⩽2] [G(y)=0 for x<0 and G(y)=1 for y>2]

  • M1

    Differentiation of their G(y).

  • A1

    g(y)={325y50⩽y<12425y2−325y51⩽y⩽20otherwise.

4 · 8 marks

  • B1

    H0: population medians are equal for under 25s and over 50s (or m<25=m>50). H1: population median for under 25s < population median time for over 50s (or m<25<m>50).

  • M1

    Attempt at ranks using the integers 1 to 14 (ranks may be reversed).

  • A1

    Sum of ranks for sample of size 6: R6=60

  • M1

    6(6+8+1)−’R6’[=30]

  • A1

    [W=min⁡(60,30)=]30

  • B1

    Critical value for n=6,m=8 is 31.

  • M1

    '30' ⩽31, reject H0 (significant).

  • A1

    Sufficient evidence to suggest that older people take longer to react. OR Sufficient evidence to support researcher’s claim.

5a · 7 marks

  • B1

    H0:μB−μA=k,  H1:μB−μA>k

  • M1

    Differences, d: 19, 17, 8, 16, 9, 23, 6, 5.

  • M1

    ∑d=103,  ∑d2=1641, dˉ=12.875,  sd2=17(1641−18(1032))=44.982[=251956]

  • M1

    t=12.875−ksd28

  • A1

    Correct evaluation of test statistic formula.

  • M1

    12.875−ksd28⩾1.895

  • A1

    [0⩽]k⩽8.38

5b · 1 mark

  • B1

    Population of differences are normally distributed.

6a · 4 marks

  • B1

    Probabilities: 115,715,715 for 0, 1, 2 heads.

  • B1

    GX(t)=115+715t+715t2

  • B1

    Probabilities: 815,715 for 1, 2 colours.

  • B1

    GY(t)=815t+715t2

6b · 1 mark

  • B1

    X and Y are not independent.

6c · 4 marks

  • B1

    Correct 3 cases identified correctly where probabilities are not zero from 1,2 colours: (x,y)=(0,1),(1,2) or (2,1).

  • M1

    At least one non-zero probability correct. Allow for 115,715, or 1415.

  • A1

    All probabilities correct.

  • A1

    GZ(t)=115t+1415t3

6d · 2 marks

  • M1

    Attempt to differentiate GZ(t) and find GZ′(1). FT their GZ(t).

  • A1

    4315[=2.87]

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